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After a long hype, telecom operators have finally started going live on their 5G networks. Beginning in 2019, a large number of telecom operators announced their plans for the 5G launch.

And the second quarter of the year finally witnessed some of these operators launching 5G commercially, Between 2018 and 2020, 50+ countries in North America, Europe.

The Middle East and Asia Pacific have announced plans to launch 5G services, On the other hand, the launch of commercial 5G services in certain countries is made earlier than initially planned.

What’s 5G?

In layman’s language, 5G is going to be better internet, i.e. with greater speed limits. If you can experience 20-30 Mbps speeds today on your 4G devices, with 5G you will be able to experience 1 Gbps speeds. For beginner’s that’s it. No other difference.

If you allow me to go a little deeper, in addition to speeds, 5G will also reduce latency rates to under 5ms.

Latency: Latency is a time interval between the stimulation and response, or, from a more general point of view, a time delay between the cause and the effect of some physical change in the system being observed.

Latency is physically a consequence of the limited velocity with which any physical interaction can propagate.

It is likely that most people are aware of the speed element, but may not be familiar with the term called “Latency”.

That’s why please let me explain the term “Latency” before I move ahead.

5G-Timeline-Graphics
5G-Timeline-Graphics

Imagine you (while located in Karachi) are sending a signal, or say a piece of information to a server in the US.

The total time it takes for this piece of information or signal “from your PC to reaching to the US and then getting back to your PC” is called latency.

All the communication happening on the internet today is started only after sending initial information — or say the header information — from sender to receiver and then back.

This header information usually contains the request for information, then the network availability or any other information that may be required before the actual message is sent or received.

So higher the latency, the more time is required to initiate a communication.

Our usual latency levels on 4G networks today are around 200-300 milliseconds. While this could be very low in your opinion, such latency levels are considered huge.

For instance, if there’s a surgeon and if he has to operate a patient in a different part of the world through a remote-controlled arm connected to the internet, Then such latency rate is very high, and almost impossible for the doctors to use for surgeries.

Similarly, there are other use cases where latency rates of above 1-5ms are not feasible, such as robotics, automation, IoT, etc.

With 5G networks, you will get higher speeds and lower latency rates. That’s all the difference that you can expect on a 5G network (in a layman’s term).

Is Pakistan Prepared for 5G?

So while we know what to expect from 5G now, it’s easier for us to estimate our preparedness for launching a 5G network in Pakistan.

I can see you saying a nay already and in fact shouting “Yahan 10mbps say Ziada speed nahi ati, 1Gbps Kahan say aye gi“.

And unfortunately, you are right. Our speed limits are low even by 4G standards. Well, they are better than some countries out there, but definitely not the best. For a reference, check the speeds of 4G LTE networks from around the world from a few months ago.

Open-Signal-4G-Asia-report-2018
Open-Signal-4G-Asia-report-2018

We can’t improve our 4G speeds even if we invest billions (and billions) of dollars in erecting new towers, upgrading our core networks and whatnot unless we don’t lay an end-to-end fiber-optic network.

So while 5G will require a lot of upgradation on the network part, our mobile phone operators are future proof and will not need much of the equipment upgradation to be able to offer 5G.

In layman’s language, imagine you have a PC and just need to upgrade your graphics card to be able to play graphic-intensive games.

Similarly, for our operators, they need to upgrade a module on the networks and that would be pretty much it to be able to become 5G ready.

While there are some other requirements, such as broader availability of spectrum and a higher number of cell sites to cater more users, all these things are manageable and can be done in a short span of time.

So while all other aspects of network up-gradation are just a few months away (and may require a lot of investment), the real core task ahead is the ‘fiberization’ of the country.

As mentioned above, higher speeds and low latency are the primary features of a 5G network. And that’s not possible with our current back-haul infrastructure which is mainly connected through microwave.

We are talking about main hub to tower communication and then tower to tower communication, that must be connected with fiber-optic in a 5G ready network bu that’s not the case here.

Fiber_Connected_Towers
Fiber_Connected_Towers

For a reference, only 10% of towers in Pakistan are connected with fiber-optic, while the rest are on microwaves, making it almost impossible for the operators to offer a 5G network. Yes, we can launch 5G in a few months — but that will just be a buzzword.

What we really need to do immediately is to fiberize the country. Lay as much fiber optic as possible. Not just for 5G, but for the overall connectivity of the businesses and masses to fiber is what we should have done long ago.

A primary index of development in a country can also be indicated by the fiberization of its land.

When to Expect 5G?

This post started to look more on fiber optic than 5G, but trust me fiberization is the key to our entry into 5G era. And that’s why we must overcome this prerequisite to be able to launch 5G in the country.

Our discussions with experts, USF, and other stakeholders suggest that this fiberization and other factors associated with the launch of 5G.

Such as spectrum cost, allocation, availability of 5G compatible devices will take at least 1.5 to 3 years before Pakistanis will be finally able to experience 5G in the country.

USF Has a Role to Play

You will be relieved to know that the Universal Service Fund (aka USF) is geared up with the task. They want to connect every union council of the country with fiber optic. Even if that’s done, it’s going to be a major development.

For your understanding, just 1,050 union councils (out of total 6,061 union councils in the country) are currently connected with fiber optic.

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As per USF, there are another 1,871 union councils where the fiber optic is passing but there’s no node available.

This eases USF’s task as they will just add a node to these 1,871 union councils and almost half of the union councils in the country would be on fiber optic.

Then there are private operators working in the country, which are aggressively laying fiber optic, mainly in metropolitan areas, which is a positive sign